Nkhani zaku China Cotton network: Makampani a thonje ku United States odziwika bwino a "Cotton Farmers Magazine" kafukufuku wapakati pa Disembala 2023 adawonetsa kuti malo obzala thonje ku United States mchaka cha 2024 akuyembekezeka kukhala maekala 10.19 miliyoni, poyerekeza ndi dipatimenti yobzala thonje ku United States. Ulimi mu Okutobala 2023, malo omwe adabzalidwa kwenikweni adatsika ndi maekala pafupifupi 42,000, kuchepa kwa 0.5%, ndipo palibe kusintha kwakukulu poyerekeza ndi chaka chatha.

Ndemanga za kupanga thonje ku US mu 2023

Chaka chapitacho, alimi a thonje a ku United States anali ndi chiyembekezo chokhudza kukolola, mitengo ya thonje inali yovomerezeka, komanso chinyezi cha nthaka asanabzale chinali chokwanira, ndipo madera ambiri omwe amalima thonje ankayembekezeredwa kuti ayambe bwino nyengo yobzala.Komabe, mvula yambiri ku California ndi Texas inachititsa kusefukira kwa madzi, minda ina ya thonje inasinthidwa kukhala mbewu zina, ndipo kutentha kwakukulu kwa chilimwe kunachititsa kuchepa kwakukulu kwa zokolola za thonje, makamaka kumwera chakumadzulo, komwe kudakali chilala choipitsitsa. mbiri mu 2022. Kuyerekeza kwa Okutobala kwa USDA kwa maekala 10.23 miliyoni mchaka cha 2023 kukuwonetsa momwe nyengo ndi zinthu zina zamsika zakhudzira kuneneratu koyambirira kwa maekala 11-11.5 miliyoni.

Fufuzani mmene zinthu zilili

Kafukufukuyu akuwonetsa kuti mgwirizano pakati pa thonje ndi mitengo yopikisana ya mbewu idzakhudza kwambiri zosankha zobzala.Nthawi yomweyo, kukwera kwamitengo kwamitengo, kufunikira kwa thonje padziko lonse lapansi, zandale ndi zandale, komanso kukwera mtengo kwamitengo kumakhalanso ndi zotsatirapo zazikulu.Kutengera kuwunika kwanthawi yayitali kwa ubale wamtengo wa thonje ndi chimanga, maekala a thonje aku US akuyenera kukhala pafupifupi maekala 10.8 miliyoni.Malinga ndi tsogolo la thonje la ICE 77 cents/pound, chimanga chili ndi tsogolo la 5 dollars/bushel, mtengo waposachedwa kuposa kukula kwa thonje wa chaka chino ndi wabwino, koma mtengo wa thonje wa 77 cents ndi wokongola kwambiri kwa alimi a thonje. mtengo wam'tsogolo wa thonje ndi wokhazikika pa masenti oposa 80 kuti awonjezere zolinga zobzala.

Kafukufukuyu akuwonetsa kuti mu 2024, malo obzala thonje kum'mwera chakum'mawa kwa United States ndi maekala 2.15 miliyoni, kuchepa kwa 8%, ndipo dera lamayiko silidzawonjezeka, ndipo nthawi zambiri limakhala lokhazikika komanso latsika.Dera la South Central likuyembekezeka kukhala maekala 1.65 miliyoni, pomwe madera ambiri amakhala osalala kapena otsika pang'ono, pomwe Tennessee okha ndi omwe akuwona kuwonjezeka pang'ono.Dera lakum'mwera chakumadzulo linali maekala 6.165 miliyoni, kutsika ndi 0.8% chaka chonse, ndi chilala chambiri mu 2022 komanso kutentha kwakukulu mu 2023 kumakhudzabe kupanga thonje, koma zokolola zikuyembekezeka kuchira pang'ono.Dera lakumadzulo, pa maekala 225,000, linali pansi pafupifupi 6 peresenti kuyambira chaka chapitacho, ndi mavuto a madzi amthirira ndi mitengo ya thonje yomwe imakhudza kubzala.

Kwa chaka chachiwiri motsatizana, mitengo ya thonje ndi zinthu zina zosalamulirika zachititsa kuti ofunsidwawo asakhale ndi chidaliro chokwanira pa ziyembekezo zakubzala mtsogolo, pomwe ena omwe adafunsidwa adakhulupirira kuti thonje la US litha kutsika mpaka maekala 9.8 miliyoni, pomwe ena amakhulupirira kuti akhoza kukula mpaka 10.5 miliyoni maekala.Kafukufuku wa acreage wa Cotton Farmers Magazine akuwonetsa momwe msika ulili kuyambira kumapeto kwa Novembala mpaka koyambirira kwa Disembala 2023, pomwe ntchito yokolola thonje ku US inali mkati.Kutengera zaka zam'mbuyomu, kulondola kwazomwe zaneneratu ndizokwera kwambiri, zomwe zimapatsa makampaniwo chakudya chofunikira kuti aganizire asanatulutse malo omwe akuyembekezeka ku NCC komanso deta yovomerezeka ya USDA.

Gwero: China Cotton Information Center