Nkhani za pa intaneti ya thonje ku China: Kafukufuku wodziwika bwino wa makampani opanga thonje ku United States wotchedwa “Cotton farmers Magazine” pakati pa Disembala 2023 adawonetsa kuti malo obzala thonje ku United States mu 2024 akuyembekezeka kukhala maekala 10.19 miliyoni, poyerekeza ndi Dipatimenti ya Ulimi ku United States mu Okutobala 2023, malo enieni obzala omwe adanenedwa adachepetsedwa ndi maekala pafupifupi 42,000, kuchepa kwa 0.5%, ndipo palibe kusintha kwakukulu poyerekeza ndi chaka chatha.
Ndemanga ya kupanga thonje ku US mu 2023
Chaka chapitacho, alimi a thonje aku US anali ndi chiyembekezo cha zomwe angapange popanga, mitengo ya thonje inali yovomerezeka, ndipo chinyezi cha nthaka asanabzale chinali chokwanira, ndipo madera ambiri omwe amapanga thonje ankayembekezeredwa kuyamba nyengo yobzala bwino. Komabe, mvula yambiri ku California ndi Texas inayambitsa kusefukira kwa madzi, minda ina ya thonje inasanduka mbewu zina, ndipo kutentha kwakukulu kwa chilimwe kunapangitsa kuti zokolola za thonje zichepe kwambiri, makamaka kumwera chakumadzulo, komwe kukupitirirabe kukhala m'mavuto a chilala choopsa kwambiri chomwe sichinachitikepo mu 2022. Chiyerekezo cha USDA cha maekala 10.23 miliyoni cha 2023 chikuwonetsa momwe nyengo ndi zinthu zina pamsika zakhudzira zomwe zanenedweratu poyamba za maekala 11-11.5 miliyoni.
Fufuzani momwe zinthu zilili
Kafukufukuyu akuwonetsa kuti ubale pakati pa thonje ndi mitengo yopikisana ya mbewu udzakhudza kwambiri zisankho zobzala. Nthawi yomweyo, kukwera kwa mitengo kosalekeza, nkhani zofuna thonje padziko lonse lapansi, nkhani zandale ndi zandale, komanso ndalama zokwera zopangira zinthu nazonso zimakhudza kwambiri. Kutengera kusanthula kwa nthawi yayitali kwa ubale wamitengo pakati pa thonje ndi chimanga, malo a thonje ku US ayenera kukhala pafupifupi maekala 10.8 miliyoni. Malinga ndi ICE cotton futures yomwe ilipo pano ndi masenti 77 pa paundi, corn futures ndi madola 5 pa bushel, mtengo wapano kuposa kukulitsa thonje chaka chino ndi wabwino, koma mtengo wa thonje wa masenti 77 ndi wokongola kwa alimi a thonje, dera la thonje nthawi zambiri likuwonetsa kuti mtengo wa thonje futures ndi wokhazikika pa masenti oposa 80 kuti awonjezere zolinga zobzala.
Kafukufukuyu akuwonetsa kuti mu 2024, malo obzala thonje kum'mwera chakum'mawa kwa United States ndi maekala 2.15 miliyoni, kuchepa kwa 8%, ndipo dera la mayiko silidzawonjezeka, ndipo nthawi zambiri limakhala lokhazikika ndipo lachepa. Chigawo cha South Central chikuyembekezeka kukhala maekala 1.65 miliyoni, ndipo madera ambiri ali pansi kapena otsika pang'ono, ndipo Tennessee yokha ndi yomwe yawona kuwonjezeka pang'ono. Dera lomwe lili kum'mwera chakumadzulo linali maekala 6.165 miliyoni, kutsika ndi 0.8% pachaka, pomwe chilala chachikulu mu 2022 ndi kutentha kwambiri mu 2023 zikukhudzabe kupanga thonje, koma zokolola zikuyembekezeka kubwereranso pang'ono. Chigawo chakumadzulo, chomwe chili pa maekala 225,000, chidatsika pafupifupi 6 peresenti kuchokera chaka chapitacho, ndi mavuto a madzi othirira ndi mitengo ya thonje zomwe zimakhudza kubzala.
Kwa chaka chachiwiri motsatizana, mitengo ya thonje ndi zinthu zina zosalamulirika zapangitsa kuti omwe adayankha asakhale ndi chidaliro chokwanira pa ziyembekezo zobzala mtsogolo, pomwe ena omwe adayankha adakhulupirira kuti malo olima thonje ku US akhoza kutsika kufika pa maekala 9.8 miliyoni, pomwe ena amakhulupirira kuti malo olima thonje akhoza kukwera kufika pa maekala 10.5 miliyoni. Kafukufuku wa Cotton Farmers Magazine akuwonetsa momwe msika ulili kuyambira kumapeto kwa Novembala mpaka kumayambiriro kwa Disembala 2023, pomwe kukolola thonje ku US kunkapitirirabe. Kutengera zaka zam'mbuyomu, kulondola kwa zomwe zanenedweratu ndi kwakukulu, zomwe zimapatsa makampaniwo chakudya chothandiza choganizira asanatulutse deta ya NCC yomwe ikufunidwa komanso deta yovomerezeka ya USDA.
Chitsime: China Cotton Information Center
Nthawi yotumizira: Januwale-05-2024