Mtengo wa katundu watsika koyamba pa msewu wonse! Kodi kotala lachitatu ndi nthawi yosinthira?

Posachedwapa, bungwe loona za maulendo apanyanja la Britain (Drewry) latulutsa World Containerized Freight Index (WCI) yaposachedwa, yomwe idawonetsa kuti WCI idapitilizabekutsika kwa 3% kufika pa $7,066.03/FEUNdikofunikira kudziwa kuti kuchuluka kwa katundu wonyamula katundu pa malo oimikapo magalimoto, komwe kumachokera ku njira zazikulu zisanu ndi zitatu za Asia-America, Asia-Europe, ndi Europe ndi America, kwawonetsa kuchepa kwakukulu koyamba.

Chiwerengero cha WCI composite index chinatsika ndi 3% ndipo chinatsika ndi 16% kuchokera nthawi yomweyi mu 2021. Chiwerengero chapakati cha chaka cha Drewry cha WCI composite index ndi $8,421/FEU, komabe, avareji ya zaka zisanu ndi $3490/FEU yokha, yomwe ikadali yokwera ndi $4930.

Kunyamula katundu pamalopo kuchokera ku Shanghai kupita ku Los Angelesyatsika ndi 4% kapena $300 kufika pa $7,652/FEU. Zimenezo zatsika ndi 16% poyerekeza ndi nthawi yomweyi mu 2021.

Mitengo yonyamula katundu pamalopokuchokera ku Shanghai kupita ku New York yatsika ndi 2% kufika pa $10,154/FEU.Zimenezo zatsika ndi 13% poyerekeza ndi nthawi yomweyi mu 2021.

Mitengo yonyamula katundu pamalopokuchokera ku Shanghai kupita ku Rotterdam yatsika ndi 4% kapena $358 kufika pa $9,240/FEU.Izi zatsika ndi 24% poyerekeza ndi nthawi yomweyi mu 2021.

Mitengo yonyamula katundu pamalopokuchokera ku Shanghai kupita ku Genoa yatsika ndi 2% kufika pa $10,884/FEU.Zimenezo zatsika ndi 8% poyerekeza ndi nthawi yomweyi mu 2021.

Chiwerengero cha malo olowera ku Los Angeles-Shanghai, Rotterdam-Shanghai, New York-Rotterdam ndi Rotterdam-New York chatsika.1% - 2%.

Drewry akuyembekeza mitengo yonyamula katunduakanatero kupitiriza kugwa m'masabata akubwerawa.

Alangizi ena a zachuma m'makampani adati njira yotumizira katundu yatha, ndipo chiwongola dzanja cha katundu chidzatsika mofulumira mu theka lachiwiri la chaka. Malinga ndi kuyerekezera kwake,Kukula kwa gkufunika kotumizira zidebe zakomwekoakanatero kuchepetsa kuchoka pa 7% mu 2021 kufika pa 4% ndi 3% mu 2022-2023,tkotala lachitatu wakanatha kukhala poyambira.

Poganizira za ubale wonse wa kupereka ndi kufunikira, vuto la kupereka latsegulidwa, ndipo kutayika kwa ntchito yoyendetsa sikudzatayikanso. Kuchuluka kwa katundu wonyamula sitimakuwonjezeka kwa 5% mu 2021,  kugwira ntchito bwinoadataya 26% chifukwa cha kutsekeka kwa ma port, zomwe zidachepetsa kukula kwa zinthu zenizeni.4% yokha,koma mu 2022-2023, chifukwa cha katemera wa covid-19 wofalikira, kuyambira kotala loyamba, zotsatira zoyipa za zoletsa zoyambirira pakukweza ndi kutsitsa katundu padoko zachepetsedwa kwambiri, kuyambiranso pang'onopang'ono kwa magalimoto ndi ntchito zapakati pa nthawi, kuthamanga kwa kayendedwe ka zidebe, kuchepetsa kuchuluka kwa ogwira ntchito padoko ndi kukweza kutsika, komanso kuwonjezeka kwa liwiro la zombo, ndi zina zotero.

Kotala lachitatu ndi nyengo yachikhalidwe yotumizira katundu. Malinga ndi akatswiri amakampani, malinga ndi zomwe zimachitika nthawi zonse, ogulitsa ndi makampani opanga zinthu ku Europe ndi America adayamba kugulitsa katundu mu Julayi. Ndikuopa kuti mitengo idzakhala yomveka bwino mpaka pakati pa Julayi mpaka kumapeto kwa Julayi.

Kuphatikiza apo, malinga ndi deta yomwe idatulutsidwa sabata yatha ndi Shanghai Shipping Exchange, chiŵerengero cha Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) chatsika kwa milungu iwiri yotsatizana, kutsika ndi mapointi 5.83, kapena 0.13%, kufika pa mapointi 4216.13 sabata yatha.Mitengo ya katundu wa njira zitatu zazikulu zapanyanja idapitiliza kusinthidwa, ndipo njira yakum'mawa ya United States idatsika ndi 2.67%, yomwe inali nthawi yoyamba yomwe idatsika pansi pa US$10,000 kuyambira kumapeto kwa Julayi chaka chatha.r.

Akatswiri akukhulupirira kuti msika womwe ulipo pano uli ndi zinthu zosiyanasiyana. Zinthu monga mkangano wa Russia ndi Ukraine, zipolowe zapadziko lonse lapansi, kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja ndi Federal Reserve, komanso kukwera kwa mitengo ya zinthu zitha kuchepetsa kufunikira kwa zinthu zaku Europe ndi America. Kuphatikiza apo, mtengo wa zinthu zopangira, mayendedwe ndi zinthu zoyendera ndi wokwera, ndipo opanga malonda akunja amakonda kukhala osamala pokonzekera zinthu ndi kupanga. Nthawi yomweyo, chiwerengero cha zombo zomwe zili padoko la Messiah chinachepa, mphamvu yonyamula katundu inakwera, ndipo mtengo wonyamula katundu unapitiliza kusintha kwambiri.